User

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?

May 22, 2012, 06:15:53 AM

Login with username, password and session length

Recent

Sponsors


365Bonitas is now Optimus - still on the Merge network

Intertops Poker
US friendly on Cake Network - New Tournament Schedule has begun - many new lower cost buyin freezeouts with gtd prize pools!!

BCP US friendly

Return of TopStud at CarbonPoker

Cake Poker
Use Signup Code FRT at Cake - USA friendly



Move your Poker Nordica balance to BCP and receive a deposit bonus Follow the instructions in the Poker Nordica post to transfer your funds
.
______________________

Shout Out

Last 8 Adv-Shouts:

witchywitchy
April 04, 2012, 05:19:23 AM
Poker Nordica - Move your rakeback -- Details HERE
Tomturkey46
March 25, 2012, 03:41:30 PM
don't know about the rum but I could talk like a pirate
witchywitchy
March 25, 2012, 08:17:42 AM
arrrrrrrrrrrg you a few months early for Talk Like a Pirate day Smiley  But that bottle of rum does sound good... would go well with Sunday brunch matey
Vex444
March 24, 2012, 10:13:02 AM
Yo hoho and a bottle of Rum. How have my friends at TW been? Arrg
Tomturkey46
March 14, 2012, 09:04:37 AM
Not sorry about no money, just sorry I can't seem to win since Black Friday lol
witchywitchy
March 13, 2012, 04:13:26 PM
Sorry to hear Tom Sad
Tomturkey46
March 13, 2012, 12:56:52 PM
No Money no games lol
witchywitchy
March 12, 2012, 03:50:08 AM
Monied a Maximus game last night... how are you doing in these Texaswheelers??

Pages: [1]
Print
Author Topic: Cognitive Myopia  (Read 372 times)
villaridge
Moderator
Poker Pro
*****
Posts: 895
Referrals: 14


PROVEN DONKEY Tournament Tested

7611.00 credits

Swag & More
View Inventory
Send Credits to villaridge

View Profile
« on: September 13, 2009, 08:25:53 AM »



I ran across the term "Cognitive Myopia" in my reading and researched it further. Pretty amazing to me at least that this condition is shared by sooooooo many poker players. To wit:

Several factors complicate data management. These include data scarcity, profusion, quality, relevance, limitations, accessibility, transparency and consistency. Experts estimate that 10-30% data flowing through corporate systems is bad i.e. inaccurate, inconsistent, incorrectly formatted, entered into wrong field out of value range.

To compound the fact that there is information overload and not all the data and information is accurate, is the way our mind deals with the available information to arrive at decisions and choices.

Paul Schoemaker, author of Profit from Uncertainty, describes what he calls "cognitive myopia" in terms of how we, as humans, deal with risk and uncertainty as characterized by the tendency to:

    * Anchor on readily available information
    * Let recent events that are vivid in our memory unduly influence our judgment
    * Overweigh information that supports our point of view
    * Fail to recognize implicit assumptions
    * Suffer from high sensitivity to the way facts are framed and presented
    * Underestimate rare events and their risks (being ill-prepared for their potential occurrence)
    * Overestimate dramatic events and overpay to mitigate their risks
    * Have extreme aversion toward risk
    * Suffer from context effects when choosing among risk options
    * Have excessive confidence in our ability to predict the future and fail to consider alternatives sufficiently
    * Exhibit an undue dislike for ambiguity

To deal with information overload and create value one needs to convert a huge amount of data into useful information that can be acted upon.

What we can realize from above that exclusive dependence on Intelligence for our decision making would result in lot of erroneous choices which can be thought of as the root cause of many a crisis that we see around us.

Is there an antidote to the above affliction?
Logged

nonsense--the indigenous abode of the philosopher
Poker:  the art of civilized bushwhacking
Baseball is like a poker game.  Nobody wants to quit when he's losing; nobody wants you to quit when you're ahead.  ~Jackie Robinson
Tomturkey46
Global Moderator
Shark
*****
Posts: 345
Referrals: 0


4206.00 credits

Swag & More
View Inventory
Send Credits to Tomturkey46

View Profile
« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2009, 10:42:52 AM »

Yes there is.  It is called"Thinking"

                                                    The Turkey Wink
Logged
witchywitchy
Administrator
Poker Pro
*****
Posts: 3924
Referrals: 102


106676.00 credits

Swag & More
View Inventory
Send Credits to witchywitchy

View Profile WWW
« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2009, 02:47:20 PM »



Fancy term for "our mind playing tricks on us".

Tired, had a bit too much beer, bored, playing to many games - take your pick as they all factor into the "affliction".

Defeat it with plenty of sleep, no beer..... errrrrrrrr... maybe its one of those things you can learn to live with  Roll Eyes Roll Eyes
Logged

asz
Old Timer
***
Posts: 181
Referrals: 0


1986.00 credits

Swag & More
View Inventory
Send Credits to asz

View Profile
« Reply #3 on: September 30, 2009, 05:50:40 AM »

 very nice. one of the better pieces i have seen so far. and as for one answer to the question:( Is there an antidote to the above affliction?).there  could be a very well known and over looked practice. the K.I.S.S.method ( keep it simple stupid).
over thinking things more often leads one to larger doubts and less conviction to ones commitments and objectives.


peace   asz
Logged
Pages: [1]
Print
Jump to:  

TinyPortal v1.0.5 beta 1© Bloc